Archive for the ‘Nagib's Corner’ Category

Economic Analysis: Uncertainty Can Be Good News: Tom’s Take

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

Robert Frost said, “In 3 words I can sum up everything I have learned about life. It goes on.”

Friday I was reading that crisis in Greece continues to worry investors. RE market seems to have turned the corner in the US. Next article said RE market remains weak. Meantime, volcanic eruption in Iceland has royally screwed up airline flights. To point UK has sent ships to pick up stranded citizens in the Baltic. Stock market rallied. Wait a minute, it dropped Friday on news of yet another scandal.

What the heck (alright I tamed that down) does all of this mean? How do we make it work for our businesses?

The more I read the less I know. If I don’t like one analysis I can read a little more and get the opposite analysis. Economics has always been more art than science. Yet, people, or at least the media seem to be dwelling on economic predictions more than ever.

“At first I was uncertain, now I’m not so sure.” Anonymous

Those of us in business need to be aware of what’s going on in the world. But then move forward without relying too much on what’s going on. Another quote I like, “There’s nothing wrong with looking back, just don’t stare.”

There are certain things we know.

The world knows that natural resources are depleting and the population is exploding. Likewise, each of us should know what is going on in each of the communities we do business in. Which businesses are growing and which are contracting. But do we?

I was recently talking to a VP Operations who has been asking their hotel management teams:

  • When was the last time the GM’s asked their teams, specifically, which local businesses were growing or poised for growth? When was the last time the sales team visited those businesses to learn what their needs were?
  • When was the last time they attended Chamber of Commerce Meeting? Met with the local CVB? Had lunch with their peers from other hotels? Attended a Rotary or Kiwanis meeting? Were involved in another civic activity?

This VP was worried that the teams were concentrating on today’s business to the exclusion of future business. The VP was right. The GM’s had not been asking the first question. Attending a staff meeting it was quickly apparent Department heads were not getting into the community to learn what was coming. Most of the Department heads belonged to one or more organizations, but they rarely attended meetings.

Action Plan

Hotels had their sales teams calling on known accounts and local businesses. Department heads had to attend at least one civic function a month. By dividing up civic organizations, each hotel assured attendance at majority of meetings and functions. Things that should have been happening all along, but in the effort to get immediate business, things that were not being done systematically.

Results

First month hotel picked up 4 additional catering functions. Booked 3 small meetings for the next month. All a result of sales team calling on businesses they added to their list of prospects. Attendance at civic functions and meetings resulted in booking 3 wedding receptions, an anniversary party, role out party for expansion at local business, and events for 3 new businesses that were opening within 3 months. Plus over 20 leads for other business functions with potential for over 300 room nights.

VP’s prodding reminded Department heads they were all responsible for sales for their hotel.

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Nagib’s Corner: Ways to Beat the Slow Recovery

Monday, January 4th, 2010

Happy 2010,

Firstly, hope you all had a wonderful time with your families over the holidays.

Secondly – wish you have a successful year ahead, both with your business and family.

The basics determine how to develop more business in 2010.

· Leisure Travel Outlook - Value Is Kingno secret on this reality. Focus on building value into your packages.

· Look for deals on the Internet : watch your website and analyze the stats very closely. This still remains your most effective growth medium if you use it - well. Imagine the sheer numbers of people who could be selecting you!

· Both components of demand for business travel services (individual and group) will recover as the economy improves; yet demand from individual business travelers is likely to rebound firstcorporate transient traffic and negotiated corporate traffic. This area will grow ahead of convention and meeting markets.

o In house data mining for leads. Use your employees PLUS all your normal sources.

o Identify originating source of the traffic and make a sales visit to them – it’s inexpensive and highly effective in building relations and loyalty.

o Be strategic in where you anticipate traffic to come from, not just chase what may have been there earlier. Markets evolve.

o Review your approved RFP solicitations – approval is only step one: converting that into sales is where the rubber meets the road.

o Channel management: CRO, GDS, etc. Good time to check visibility and update to highlight value propositions.

No, they won’t come just because you built: however, those who are coming to your neck of the woods will come to you if you give them reason to! And that will likely provide you what you’re looking for.

Good luck and all the very best for the year ahead!

Nagib.

Nagib Lakhani
RevMax Hospitality Consulting Services
O: (425)677-7866     C: (425)445-7750   F: (866)508-7866

nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.com

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Nagib’s Corner: Social Media Evolving Into Social Marketing

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Hello Ladies and Gentlemen

Once you have your internet strategy for your website being well managed, and are using the tools for maximum utility, these additional media are the next horizon of opportunity. They need constant and consistent time and resources dedicated to manage and maintain. If you are ready and can support that investment, then and only then, does it make sense to move with these emerging opportunities. We are close to the point where these will become the standard in your marketing mix, just as websites were several years ago. Websites are now indispensible in your current distribution strategy – so will social media marketing become a part of the staple.

Below are some interesting examples of how you can promote your hotel – can you see hotel openings, corporate parties, etc., being promoted in this manner? Lots of fun!!

Take care and have a wonderful weekend!

‘Twend’: Social Media Evolving Into Social Marketing

– Hotels, 12/1/2009

In 2009, social media Web sites completed the transition from being a source of procrastination for young adults to a mainstream cultural phenomenon. With Twitter—and to a slightly lesser extent, Facebook—leading the way, 2010 will see social media become firmly entrenched as a powerhouse marketing platform. At both the brand and property levels, even the most conservative of hotel companies are dipping their proverbial toes into the social media waters.

As social media becomes more and more commonplace, expect companies and consumers alike to continue exploring interactivity in greater depth. Social media gives hoteliers an incredibly inexpensive way to build brand awareness, while doing it in a way that makes the brands seem simultaneously hip, down-to-earth and fun.

A great example is Caesars Palace Las Vegas’ Trick or Tweet promotion in October. Using its @CaesarsPalace Twitter account, Caesars Palace tweeted locations on property for followers to visit within a certain time frame. For guests who played along with the real-time, real-life social media scavenger hunt, the hotel gave away prizes.

Savvy hoteliers are increasingly using social media to let guests sell the hotel to other guests, which is authentic marketing at its best. For instance, Dolce Hotels and Resorts held a Facebook contest in November that invited fans to propose dream vacations at its Dolce Hayes Mansion, California. The best of the submissions were then posted on Dolce’s Facebook page for fans to vote on a winner. The prize: the very dream vacation proposed by the winner.

In a slightly edgier version of the same coin, MGM Grand Las Vegas in November asked followers of its @mgmgrand Twitter account to tweet their “sins,” using the #mgmsin hashtag, with one participant selected at random each day of the month to win a free room night.

What a brilliant promotional premise: Get the public thinking and talking about your brand, your destination and all the fun (and scandalous) things they could do while there, then just sit back and watch the conversation mushroom organically.

Nagib Lakhani

RevMax Hospitality Consulting Services
O: (425)677-7866          C: (425)445-7750        F: (866)508-7866
nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.com
4313 245th Avenue SE, Issaquah, WA 98029

Confidentiality Implied

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Nagib’s Corner: Room Demand is on the Rise!

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

We’re at the bottom – aren’t we??

Here is Glenn’s article, one in a number of recent articles that have talked about the trough bottoming out. The future is looking brighter although how bright depends very much on the amount of new supply in your backyard.
The challenge on the horizon is – what will the way back up the hill look like? Will it be gradual and more U-shaped , a sharper uptick to the top? At the recent Distressed Hotel Summit, Lee Pillsbury, Chairman and CEO of Thayer Lodging, subscribed to the sharper rise while Mark Woodhouse, Executive Vice President of PKF Hospitality Research, thought it would be a more gradual and U-shaped return. While Jim Abrahamson from IHG sees the uptick more like the Nike Swoosh, slow and more gradual than U shaped.

Either way, I think we should rejoice in the obvious – it’s looking brighter at the end of this long, dark and claustrophobic tunnel!
For those of you with more supply to contend with, the going may still has some bumps for you. However, your experience, stronger guest service and interaction are the stall worthy hallmarks of a steady and reliable guest base. You cannot go wrong with an investment in your team who can make that investment in guest experience.

Thank you

Nagib.

Room Demand is on the Rise!
Pricing power may still lag, but at least there are real indications that demand for hotel rooms is back.
Monday, November 09, 2009
Glenn Haussman

While Nervous Nellies are still ruling the roost, signs of an industry rebound are finally becoming tangible. During the last couple of months many industry insiders were saying a recovery was afoot, but the evidence was anecdotal. Now it looks as if there are some provable signs – and the numbers to back it up — that demand for hotel room nights is coming back.

However, the biggest problem going forward will be pricing power. That is, hoteliers will still have a hard time pushing that ADR back to levels enjoyed just a little over a year ago. As the hotel industry rapidly lowered prices to pump up occupancy, the industry will now have to reckon with a baseline price that is much lower than it’s been in about five years.

“It is getting a little better,” said Mark V. Lomanno, president of Smith Travel Research (STR), during this past weekend’s AHLA Fall Conference held in conjunction with the International Hotel/Motel & Restaurant show here in New York. “During the last couple of months, demand has begun to trend upward and I can say with a great deal of confidence it is not going to get any worse.”

Lomanno said that, while the hotel business has been in a malaise, on average there are 2.7 million rooms sold every day in the United States.

According to figures from STR, rates during the last year declined precipitously from an average daily rate (ADR) of $107 a night to about $96. However, that seems to have hit a plateau that is reminiscent of the previous downturn experience in fall 2001 after the terrorist attacks of 9/11. But it’s the revenue per available room (RevPAR) that has suffered most during the last year.

Lomanno said RevPAR is at the lowest levels since the company began tracking that statistic 16 years ago. RevPAR has plummeted 18.1 percent this year, a full 10 percent by last year’s most dour estimates predicted by PricewaterhouseCoopers last year at this event. RevPAR slipped just 1.8 percent in 2008. As for ADR, it’s dropped about 9.1 percent so far this year after a 2.5 percent decline in 2008.

Though Warren J. Marr, director with PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) said the U.S. economy has stopped contracting, he expects the economy recovery to be “uneven and a bit choppy.” Part of the reason is the severity of this past decline which has been extremely significant, especially for hotel occupancy. “The magnitude on occupancy during this decline has been greater than at least the last two previous cycles,” said Marr.

He said, however, that leisure business will still be strong, although it’s because the consumer is more highly engaged in finding the best deals. According to PwC, on September 15, 2008 – the day Lehman Brothers fell apart - consumer interest in travel deals was 13 percent below average. On November 5, 2009, interest was 7 percent above average. That’s a huge swing that is helping to further depress pricing power.

“The Internet has added to the challenge and the industry needs to be targeted as to how and why to discount. What is happening now is if I find at 8:00 AM you drop your rate, by early afternoon your competitors will too. That is something you didn’t have to deal with 10-15 years ago,” said Marr.

Interestingly Marr broke down exactly where the occupancy declines have come from during the past year. And it’s group business that is essentially responsible for the mess the industry is in. Call the AIG Effect or whatever, but 81 percent of the decline is due to vanishing group business, something many hoteliers don’t see fully coming back until 2011. Seventeen percent of the decline was due to transient business; however, Marr said it was offset by increases in leisure travel. Two percent of the decline was due to contract business, such as fewer airline crews utilizing rooms.

“Our real focus is on utilizing new strategies and technology for 2010 and beyond to drive revenue,” said Jeff Wagoner, president, Wyndham Hotels and Resorts. “We are all looking at 2011 for when things turn around. Unfortunately we have all of 2010.”

One area STR’s Lomanno said could help boost pricing is through better yield management. While the science of pricing rooms is the right way, it’s still not being used effectively to bump up weekend rates as leisure travelers still set their sights on getting away. “Yield management still isn’t beinf applied properly,” he said.

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Nagib’s Corner: Gaining Medical Group Business

Thursday, November 5th, 2009

The medical sector remains one of the few industries that is still showing strong demand for the lodging industry. If you are tracking and data-mining your in-house guests, you may already have much of this information at your fingertips:

Opportunities within the medical segment:
·         Hospitals and clinics employ IT personnel to convert their records to digital formats. Much of this demand is extended stay or comprises of significant repeating stays.
·         Medical equipment training – installation and training generates extended stay traffic. Check with your local hospital or clinic – if they’re planning on installing new equipment, there may be opportunity.
·         Pharmaceutical reps coming to your area (some of these positions have been consolidated so smaller centers are seeing more visits from out-of-town reps making sales calls) and other related demand.
·         Training, training, training – a significant portion of the medical industry traffic.
·         Nurses – many hospitals bring in contract nursing to meet demand or move staff from other hospitals and clinics within their system to meet specialty needs. This also includes specialty physicians. Marketing to this segment should focus on safety and convenience – shuttle services, accommodating shift schedules, light and healthy snacks, welcome amenity, etc.
·         Patients, friends and family – if your area hospital has a specialty they are known for, you will likely see patient traffic related to this specialty. Or if your area hospital acts as a regional facility, you’ll see traffic from patients and family. Again, probably multi-night stays. How do you attract? Shuttle, refrigerators, microwaves, direct bill (very important in some cases), a landing page on your website and sensitivity to their reason for the visit, for a start.

If you have comments on how you have marketed to this segment, please let me know.

David Brudney, a HotelNewsNow.com columists offers more thoughts

Much has been written and discussed about the restrictions placed on physicians attending pharmaceutical and other life-science industry corporation training and educational programs, in particular, at high-end resorts throughout North America. It’s no wonder then that many resort operators have limited drastically or even abandoned altogether pursing this lucrative and highly coveted business.

That’s why I was nearly blown away at what I discovered recently at a very much “non-resort” hotel here in San Diego. Old habits are hard to break for us hotel sales guys, and, of course, I checked the reader board first before meeting my out-of-town breakfast guest.

I found a medical technology company’s name listed with a full day and evening agenda of meetings. One that really caught my eye was a meeting or event scheduled in the hotel’s outdoor parking lot.

Curiosity got the better of me. I wandered out to the large outdoor parking area, and there I found in a corner of the lot connected end-to-end, two oversized mobile homes—too huge and too long to be called truck and trailers.

I walked inside the tented reception and refreshment center in front and then up the steps into the first unit. What I found was a complete mobile operating room. (I recognized my surroundings right away having personally experienced hip replacement surgery.) In the room were two orthopedic surgeons—both employed, I learned later, by the host medical technology company—in full scrubs maneuvering a cadaver leg under a sheet on one of several operating tables. My tour guide explained the two surgeons would be demonstrating new procedures and techniques for large joint implants for the hip and knee and, later on, extremity implants for the hand, elbow, shoulder, foot and ankle.
Upon returning to my office, I logged onto the medical technology company’s Web site and learned they’ve been a certified designer, manufacturer and worldwide distributor of orthopedic implants and instrumentation for more than 50 years. Drilling further, I found they produce a number of educational programs for health care professionals at various regional locations.

These programs are designed to educate the seasoned veteran surgeon interested in expanding his/her scope of practice in the foot and ankle. The program aims to “facilitate higher levels of physician competencies, improve health care delivery and subsequent outcomes of patient care . . . to promote the highest level of patient safety, and further advance the specialty of orthopedic surgery (of the foot and ankle).”

Physicians and other health care professionals attending—as many as 100 over the two-day event—received hands-on training sessions, cadaver workshops, lectures and presentations.

I wanted to be sure the company was compliant with all current rules and regulations, so I navigated my way to the site’s “Customer Relationship Policy” definitions where I found the following information:

(Company authorized) use of “appropriate” off-site venues including hotel or other commercially available meeting facilities conducive to the effective transmission of information.
Health care professional attendees may be provided with modest meals and refreshments in connection with these programs. Any such meals and refreshments must be modest in value and subordinate in time and focus to the educational or training purpose of the meeting.
(The company) may pay for reasonable travel and modest lodging costs incurred by attending health care professionals where there are objective reasons to support the need for out-of-town travel to efficiently deliver training and education on products and/or medical technologies.
They do, in fact, state that “resort locations are not acceptable locations” for the company’s training and/or education events, adding resorts “are generally not deemed conducive to training, education, or the effective transmission of knowledge and should be avoided as venues for programs and events.” I can’t think of a single resort I know that would not take issue with that statement—but let’s save that for one of my future columns or articles.

No doubt there must be countless other medical technology companies booking similar training and education events at hotels just like the one here in San Diego. Where resorts have lost, maybe well-located, full-service commercial hotels will benefit—especially those with large, accommodating outdoor parking areas. The San Diego hotel in question was a large, well-respected branded, full-service commercial hotel with 350 guestrooms, less than 25,000 square feet of indoor function space, shopping close by, freeways accessible, located only eight miles away from San Diego’s downtown and airport.

Events just like the one described in this column will be held at various regional locations throughout 2010.  Should they continue to avoid booking resorts, for whatever reason or reasons, this creates some terrific business opportunities for full-service commercial hotels. (Especially those with large outdoor parking.)

Happy marketing!

Nagib Lakhani
RevMax Hospitality Consulting Services
O: (425)677-7866               C: (425)445-7750                F: (866)508-7866
nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.com

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Nagib’s Corner: Front Desk Training Is The Key To Capturing More Walk-In Business

Tuesday, October 27th, 2009

Who generates the most room nights in your hotel?

The article below speaks to a critical component of our sales processes – the Front Desk. Some hotels focus on this realization – that the FD is your biggest contributor of room nights and hence your hotel’s most valued sales ally – while others look upon this team as more operational. From the standpoint of channel contribution, in almost all cases, few compare to the power of the FD team to generate/capture more traffic.
Whilst the walk-in guest listed below is a very important opportunity for all of us, the implication to other segments is what is even more significant, from my perspective.

The Power Play - A Sure Win.

If you view your FD team as a primary and critical cog in your sales apparatus, then they should be trained and encouraged to
1. Engage the guest in conversation about which company they are with
2. What brings them to the area – remember, they may tell you a company that is large in your area when they are actually a vendor to that company. Very important to recognize the difference.
3. Are there others team members who also come to the area
4. Obtain a business card (use some competition or draw type of program to stimulate this tried and true program)
5. Offer them an upgrade because …. they are so nice and we sure know how to take care of nice people!
Incent your desk for their efforts. More leads and opportunities can be obtained by data mining your own in-house guests than most realize. However, this is not an easy, simple or sporadic exercise. You need a systematic and focused approach by multiple team members to effectively utilize this information to your advantage. This takes thought and discipline to convert into an effective program to drive sales.

It can be, and most often IS, your MOST powerful sales generating opportunity. I do not say that lightly.

So what’s next?
Try it ……. You’ll like it!

Nagib Lakhani
RevMax Hospitality Consulting Services
O: (425)677-7866 C: (425)445-7750 F: (866)508-7866
nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.com
Front Desk Training Is The Key To Capturing More Walk-In Business - By Doug Kennedy
Date: 2009-06-01
Industry: -Gaming-Hotel- Category: Features

While many hotels have focused attention in recent years on helping reservations agents increase their sales effectiveness, many are still overlooking the numerous other sales opportunities that front desk sales associates encounter everyday.
One such opportunity is the walk-in inquiry. Depending on your market segment, brand, and especially your location, walk-in sales can represent a significant source of additional revenue.

Unfortunately, the hotel industry overall does a less than adequate job of selling to walk-ins. Typically, the car pulls up out front and someone gets out; sometimes it’s the mom, sometimes it’s the dad, sometimes it’s the 12 year old kid. Regardless of who it is, they all ask the same question: ‘How much are your rooms?’ All too often associates simply say ‘$99 a night.’ Nothing more is mentioned other than price. And what’s the worst mistake you can make in sales? Quoting a price without demonstrating value.

When you stop to consider it, the walk-in sales opportunity provides the hotel with some significant advantages over other distribution channels. For one, the sales person can visually evaluate the guests needs and wants. Are they dressed as if on a business trip, or on vacation? What is their age? Are they traveling alone or with family? What is their level of commitment; do they park the car and walk-in with luggage, or do they just run in to find out the price?

A second advantage is that the sales prospect can see the product firsthand and is able to formulate a first impression. (This is why it is critical for hotels to maintain curb appeal.) Another significant advantage in selling to walk-ins is that it takes more effort for the prospect to shop around. It’s harder to get back in the car and drive down the road than it is to click on the next Internet link or to dial the phone number of the next property.

If you’re looking to capture and convert more walk-in inquiries into bookings, here are some training tips to review at your next front office meeting:

• Connect With The Customer. Fundamental guest service principles will help you gain a competitive edge. Greeting the guest before they greet you, establishing eye contact, smiling, and using positive body language will set you apart from competitors.

• Offer A Menu Of Options. Depending on your inventory of rooms and packages, you’ll want to offer two or three choices when possible, versus only quoting the lower rate. For example, offer a traditional guest room and then an executive level room, or non-view and view rooms; or a room versus a suite. Or if your hotel has a limited number of room categories, you might still be able to offer a menu of ‘rate’ options such as a ‘room only’ rate and a second rate option that includes other services (such as breakfast, parking, or Internet.) Offering a menu of options migrates guests into a ‘which should I choose?’ versus ‘Should I choose to stay here?’ decision making process.

• Describe The Room And/Or Rate Option. Common industry terms like ’standard room’ and ‘continental breakfast’ do little to convey value and to entice guests. Instead, help them take psychological possession by fully describing the furnishings, views, concierge level lounges, and/or continental breakfast presentations. Remember to use the knowledge gained from reading the guest to point out features that might provide a benefit; instead allure and entice them with visually and emotionally descriptive language.

• Avoid positioning last-sell or higher rated options in the negative. When the only rooms available to walk-ins are either the highest-priced or least desirable, which is frequently the case in high-demand situations, it’s important to make them sound as appealing as possible. Rather than saying ‘Oh, we only have our suites left’ instead, create a sense of urgency with ‘Oh good, we still have some of our suites, which feature…’ Instead of saying ‘All we have left are our limited view rooms,’ reiterate value by saying ‘Although this room does have a limited view, you still have all the same amenities and services as with all our rooms, and I have to say this room really is a great value at this time.

In addition to training your front desk to utilize these and other sales techniques, it’s also important to measure the results both individually and on a department-wide basis. If your property management system allows, assign a special source code to walk-ins. Otherwise, create a form to manually record your results. Of course, you’ll also want to challenge your staff’s competitive spirit by posting the results on a ‘daily,’ MTD, and YTD basis, and then to celebrate your success via staff recognition and/or incentive programs.

By employing the basic sales principles for capturing walk-ins, your front desk team can help your hotel maximize it’s market share even in a down market.

Doug Kennedy

Visit www.kennedytrainingnetwork.com for details or e-mail him at: doug@kennedytrainingnetwork.com.

This article comes from Hotel News Resource
http://www.hotelnewsresource.com

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Nagib’s Corner: Surprised, or Stubborn? U.S. Hotel Managers Missed Their Budgets In 2008

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

Hello Ladies and Gentlemen,

As you are all in the throes of developing, or defending, your budgets the following article may be helpful. Last year I had offered some articles that alluded to the same propensity of optimism (that’s a really good thing, by the way) although it does make for a difficult year to achieve results! This year, the future is somewhat cloudy although the general sentiment is that the second half should bring some relief by way of stronger and growing demand.
As we all know, at the end of the day, this demand is so regionally specific and equally more specific to your sales and marketing efforts within the sectors that are likely to show this increasing demand.

Be strategic in focusing the efforts of your sales force and keep a handle on undue expenses, particularly those with minimal guest impact.
For guest impact items and for marketing to the strategic segments, it should be full steam ahead with no hold back! It’s the surest way to hold what you have and shift share.

Enjoy the PKF article. Good luck and have a great weekend,

Nagib.


Surprised, or Stubborn? U.S. Hotel Managers Missed Their Budgets In 2008 - By Robert Mandelbaum
Date: 2009-10-22

The U.S. lodging industry rebounded strongly after its 2001 to 2003 industry recession. RevPAR growth exceeded 7.8 percent each year from 2004 through 2006. While hotels achieved a relatively strong 5.8 percent growth in RevPAR in 2007, industry performance started to show its first signs of softness. During the year, demand grew less than 1.0 percent contributing to a slight drop in occupancy (-0.4 percent).
Despite the decline in 2007 occupancy, U.S. hoteliers remained optimistic when preparing their budgets for the following year. Hotel management forecast increases in occupancy, ADR, RevPAR, and profits for 2008. In hindsight, we now know that the U.S. hotel industry suffered declines in all major performance measurements during the year

When preparing their 2008 budgets, did hotel managers miss the early warning signs observed in 2007, or did they stubbornly follow the historical practice of not budgeting for performance less than the prior year?

To answer this question and assist U.S. hotel management in the preparation of their 2010 budgets, PKF Hospitality Research (PKF-HR) examined the accuracy of 518 hotel budgets for the year 2008. The data was taken from the Trends(R) in the Hotel Industry database of PKF-HR.

Budget Inaccuracy
Looking towards 2008, the hotel managers in our survey sample were budgeting for a 6.8 percent increase in total revenue. Unfortunately, at the end of the year, total revenue declined 1.8 percent.

The main reason for the revenue shortfall was an overestimation of the number of rooms expected to be occupied. The properties in our research sample budgeted for a 1.6 percent increase in occupied rooms in 2008, but actually ended up accommodating 3.7 percent fewer rooms than they did in 2007. Fortunately, hotel operators were able to raise their room rates to some degree. In 2008, the ADR for the sample grew 2.1 percent, but fell 2.9 percentage points short of the budgeted growth rate of 5.0 percent.

Growth in ADR was welcome news, but not enough to overcome the deficit in occupancy. The net result was an actual 1.8 percent decline in RevPAR in 2008, far short of the budgeted increase of 6.5 percent. Since rooms revenue comprised 64.7 percent of total revenue for the hotels in our survey sample, this explains most of the underperformance in budgeted total revenue.

Facing less revenue growth than expected, the hotel managers in our survey reacted by controlling their costs. Total operating expenses (operated departments, undistributed departments, fixed charges) were budgeted to grow 6.5 percent from 2007 to 2008, but only increased 0.5 percent. Part of the moderation in expense growth can be attributed to the reduced occupied room count and corresponding reduction in the variable expenses that would have been needed to serve these rooms.

Despite controlling their expenses, the hotels in our survey sample were unable to achieve their target net operating income (NOI). NOI was anticipated to grow 7.3 percent in 2008. Instead, the sample properties suffered a 7.7 percent decline on the bottom-line. At the end of the year, hotels fell short of their budgeted profit levels by 14.0 percent.

Looking Towards 2010
PKF Hospitality Research has been tracking the accuracy of hotel budgets since the late 1990s. During this time, we have learned that hotel managers are very adept at budgeting during prosperous periods for the lodging industry. However, when the industry suffers through a slowdown, the accuracy of hotel budgets deteriorates dramatically. Under poor market conditions, hotels have missed their profit targets by as much as 20 percent.

Budgeting for 2010 will be extraordinarily tough for U.S. hoteliers. Current year market conditions continue to deteriorate each month, thus creating an environment of pessimism. While the final results are not in, it is expected that most hotels will not meet their budgeted performance marks in 2009. In a June 2009 survey conducted by PKF-HR, 86 percent of the 407 managers surveyed stated that their property will perform worse than their budget for the year.

Compounding the current negative situation are forecasts of continued declines in the overall performance of the U.S. lodging industry for 2010. According to the August 2009 edition of Hotel Horizons(R), PKF-HR is projecting RevPAR to decline 2.7 percent next year. With the decrease in RevPAR driven mostly by a 3.1 percent decline in ADR, PKF-HR is predicting that unit-level hotel profits will drop 8.3 percent.

Given these factors, it will be difficult for hotel managers to buck historical stubborn behavior and budget for further declines in revenues and profits during 2010. However, as we have observed in the past, external pressure from the corporate offices of the management company or ownership may force the establishment of more aggressive operational targets.

Robert Mandelbaum is the Director of Research Information Services for PKF Hospitality Research. He is located in the firm’s Atlanta office. For more information on the reports and services PKF-HR offers to assist hoteliers in the budgeting process, please visit www.pkfc.com/store. Parts of this article were published in the September 2009 issue of Lodging.

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Nagib’s Corner: Credit Crisis Continues To Affect U.S. Pipeline

Thursday, October 22nd, 2009

Hello Ladies and Gentlemen,

Nothing new here, just an update to statistics on forecasted opening, FYI. I have attached their earlier projections from July.

Key highlights:
1. Transaction volume in 2009 is expected to be just 25% of what it was at the peak in 2007, with selling prices down by 50%.
2. Pipeline guestroom totals are down 34% YoY and 11% QoQ
3. Approx 153K new rooms scheduled for 2009
4. Approx 112.6K new rooms scheduled for 2010
5. Approx 75K new rooms scheduled for 2011.
As we know, irrespective of what the statistics state, the real impact is if new supply enters into YOUR market. If that is so, declining rates mean little. If new supply in your market has been postponed or cancelled, then it has real meaning. No matter what the case, you have the advantage of forewarning in, whichever the case. That is the leverage to maximize.

Either way, new supply in your market requires a pro-active and aggressive response – a response that should start well in advance of the opening. You can mitigate some of this impact by a well planned and thoughtful series of steps that position you positively with your clients as well as strengthen the relationship you have with each of them. It does not have to be a devastating occurrence, merely a call to pro-active intervention.

Take care.
Nagib Lakhani
nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.co
RevMax Hospitality Consulting Service
O: (425)677-7866 C: (425)445-7750 F: (866)508-7866

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Nagib’s Corner: 20% Solution to Increased Market Share

Monday, October 12th, 2009

Some very sage advice from Carol.

With the very many domains not within our control, there are some that we DO control. And, they happen to impact revenue – imagine that! Her observations are spot on.

Whilst Carol speaks to the opportunities in the social media environment, I remain somewhat skeptical about plunging into this arena. My concerns emanate from some observations:
·         There are many opportunities within the traditional avenues of ecommerce which many hotels are not fully exploiting yet. The payoffs here are tried and well proven.
·         The greatest impact in these media is still, in my opinion, a proper and vigorous attention to guest feedback sites – TripAdvisor, Expedia, Travelocity, etc, etc. With a strong ecommerce and internet strategy coupled with a disciplined approach to responding appropriately and honestly to guest comment postings, you can influence a larger number of travelers than diverting limited resources prematurely to exploring new outlets.

BTW: I have set up a Twitter account, and have received many requests from others to follow me but have yet to come across someone I know who actually uses this! I plead guilty to the same too!
So, where would I push first?

So, that is my two cents. Read on and good luck, as always!

Nagib.

The 20% Solution to Increased Market Share and Revenue - By Carol Verret
Date: 2009-10-07
Industry: -Gaming-Hotel- Category: Features

The local market may be fraught with challenges - new supply, major demand generators cutting back on budgets and revenue dilution due to heavy discounting. These factors comprise the 80% that is out of control of individual properties - accept it and move on to the 20% that you can control.

PKF states that ‘Our research over the past 10 years reveals that seventy-five to eighty percent of a hotel’s performance is systematically a function of changes in the larger market in which the property is located,’ notes John B. (Jack) Corgel Ph.D., Senior Advisor to PKF Hospitality Research and the Robert C. Baker Professor of Real Estate, Cornell University School of Hotel Administration. ‘And who is better at knowing that remaining twenty to twenty-five percent than the local property owner or operator? The person in charge of the hotel knows when rooms will come in and out of service, when renovations occur, and when competitors open across the street.’ (Hotel Marketing, August 14, 2009)

The local market may be fraught with challenges - new supply, major demand generators cutting back on budgets and revenue dilution due to heavy discounting. These factors comprise the 80% that is out of control of individual properties - accept it and move on to the 20% that you can control.

How would the numbers look different if you generated an additional 20%? That means that 80% of your market is out of your control but that 20% is the difference between 100% market share and 120% — that 20% could be the difference between servicing the debt on your hotel or not, that 20% can save a few jobs in your hotel. 20% can easily be spread among multiple market segments.

Market share will determine which properties are best positioned to move rate when the recovery begins. There are various reports that most hotels have access to that indicate market share by market segment. Those include the Hotelligence report, the monthly STR report and some of the reports furnished by the OTAs. An analysis of these reports read with an eye toward market share reveals opportunities for achieving that additional 20% over the market average.

Achieving an additional 20% or whatever percentage the hotel is below 120% market share is doable. A strategy developed across all market segments based on report analysis of which market segments have room to move the needle on market share, can yield significant revenue benefits.

Corporate Business: ‘The next six weeks are very critical in my point of view, said (Starwood’s) Chief Financial Officer Vasant Prabhu during a presentation at Deutsche Bank’s leveraged finance conference. It is ‘the first indicator of what next year’s trends look like.’ ..in relation to the return of corporate business. (Forbes, October 1, 2009) Using the Hotelligence report, where can you steal share? Have you examined the in-house reports to locate smaller volume businesses that may be using you but aren’t on your radar screen? Are these businesses in a market sector that is growing and are there any others in that market sector in the local market? Build a corporate package for the smaller accounts that won’t beat you up on rate like the big RFP accounts.

Corporate Groups: You have exhausted the database, you have done your internet searches and the battle fatigue has set into the sales staff. Have you tried nontraditional sources such as social networks to put out ‘hot dates and rates’? Is there a corporate group promotion on the hotel’s FaceBook page in addition to the usual ’specials’ for F&B? Have you put out a subtle tease on the LinkedIn discussion groups in which you participate? While only 13% of meeting planners say they use Twitter can you reach that 13% with a Twitter promotion provided that you have meeting planner followers? Is the hotel on i-Meet, the social network for meeting planners and suppliers? Are you absolutely sure that you have mapped all of your accounts to locate every contact that can give you business?

Leisure: Autumn and the holidays are a heavy travel time for both leisure transient and leisure groups. Going back to social networks, have you posted leisure packages on the hotel’s FaceBook page? Is the LinkedIn hotel profile ‘tagged’ with links to landing pages that have special packages for leisure groups? Is the hotel still implementing Twitter campaigns for leisure business? Going back to the database, corporate clients also have leisure travel and groups that come into the market. Send out mini eblasts to the corporate database promoting leisure packages. Promote special rates for holiday travel family travel to your corporate clients. Be present on internet platforms where leisure groups go to check out their options such as Hotel Planner and others.

The bottom line is - are you absolutely sure that you have exhausted all of your sales and revenue management options to achieve small percentage gains in both revenue and market share? Can you get that incremental revenue up by another few percentage points in share?

If the next 45 days is critical in terms of demand, are ready to ‘own’ an extra 20% of any increase in demand?

The 20% Solution Consulting Package is available now - email carolverret@earthlink.net for details.

Carol Verret And Associates Consulting and Training offers training services and consulting in the areas of sales, revenue management and customer service primarily but not exclusively to the hospitality industry. To find out more about the company click on www.carolverret.com. To contact Carol send her an email at carol@carolverret.com or she can be reached by cell phone (303) 618-4065. Visit www.hotelsalesblog.com.

This article comes from Hotel News Resource
http://www.hotelnewsresource.com

The URL for this story is:
http://www.hotelnewsresource.com/article41568.html

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Nagib’s Corner: Front Desk Training Is The Key To Capturing More Walk-In Business

Tuesday, September 15th, 2009

Who generates the most room nights in your hotel?

The article below speaks to a critical component of our sales processes – the Front Desk. Some hotels focus on this realization – that the FD is your biggest contributor of room nights and hence your hotel’s most valued sales ally – while others look upon this team as more operational. From the standpoint of channel contribution, in almost all cases, few compare to the power of the FD team to generate/capture more traffic.
Whilst the walk-in guest listed below is a very important opportunity for all of us, the implication to other segments is what is even more significant, from my perspective.

The Power Play -  A Sure Win.

If you view your FD team as a primary and critical cog in your sales apparatus, then they should be trained and encouraged to
1.    Engage the guest in conversation about which company they are with
2.    What brings them to the area – remember, they may tell you a company that is large in your area when they are actually a vendor to that company. Very important to recognize the difference.
3.    Are there others team members who also come to the area
4.    Obtain a business card (use some competition or draw type of program to stimulate this tried and true program)
5.    Offer them an upgrade because …. they are so nice and we sure know how to take care of nice people!
Incent your desk for their efforts. More leads and opportunities can be obtained by data mining your own in-house guests than most realize. However, this is not an easy, simple or a sporadic exercise. You need a systematic and focused approach by multiple team members to effectively utilize this information to your advantage. This takes thought and discipline to convert into an effective program to drive sales.

It can be, and most often IS, your MOST powerful sales generating opportunity. I do not say that lightly.

So what’s next?
Try it …….  You’ll like it!

Nagib.

Front Desk Training Is The Key To Capturing More Walk-In Business - By Doug Kennedy
Date: 2009-06-01
Industry: -Gaming-Hotel- Category: Features

While many hotels have focused attention in recent years on helping reservations agents increase their sales effectiveness, many are still overlooking the numerous other sales opportunities that front desk sales associates encounter everyday.
One such opportunity is the walk-in inquiry. Depending on your market segment, brand, and especially your location, walk-in sales can represent a significant source of additional revenue.

Unfortunately, the hotel industry overall does a less than adequate job of selling to walk-ins. Typically, the car pulls up out front and someone gets out; sometimes it’s the mom, sometimes it’s the dad, sometimes it’s the 12 year old kid. Regardless of who it is, they all ask the same question: ‘How much are your rooms?’ All too often associates simply say ‘$99 a night.’ Nothing more is mentioned other than price. And what’s the worst mistake you can make in sales? Quoting a price without demonstrating value.

When you stop to consider it, the walk-in sales opportunity provides the hotel with some significant advantages over other distribution channels. For one, the sales person can visually evaluate the guests needs and wants. Are they dressed as if on a business trip, or on vacation? What is their age? Are they traveling alone or with family? What is their level of commitment; do they park the car and walk-in with luggage, or do they just run in to find out the price?

A second advantage is that the sales prospect can see the product firsthand and is able to formulate a first impression. (This is why it is critical for hotels to maintain curb appeal.) Another significant advantage in selling to walk-ins is that it takes more effort for the prospect to shop around. It’s harder to get back in the car and drive down the road than it is to click on the next Internet link or to dial the phone number of the next property.

If you’re looking to capture and convert more walk-in inquiries into bookings, here are some training tips to review at your next front office meeting:

• Connect With The Customer. Fundamental guest service principles will help you gain a competitive edge. Greeting the guest before they greet you, establishing eye contact, smiling, and using positive body language will set you apart from competitors.

• Offer A Menu Of Options. Depending on your inventory of rooms and packages, you’ll want to offer two or three choices when possible, versus only quoting the lower rate. For example, offer a traditional guest room and then an executive level room, or non-view and view rooms; or a room versus a suite. Or if your hotel has a limited number of room categories, you might still be able to offer a menu of ‘rate’ options such as a ‘room only’ rate and a second rate option that includes other services (such as breakfast, parking, or Internet.) Offering a menu of options migrates guests into a ‘which should I choose?’ versus ‘Should I choose to stay here?’ decision making process.

• Describe The Room And/Or Rate Option. Common industry terms like ’standard room’ and ‘continental breakfast’ do little to convey value and to entice guests. Instead, help them take psychological possession by fully describing the furnishings, views, concierge level lounges, and/or continental breakfast presentations. Remember to use the knowledge gained from reading the guest to point out features that might provide a benefit; instead allure and entice them with visually and emotionally descriptive language.

• Avoid positioning last-sell or higher rated options in the negative. When the only rooms available to walk-ins are either the highest-priced or least desirable, which is frequently the case in high-demand situations, it’s important to make them sound as appealing as possible. Rather than saying ‘Oh, we only have our suites left’ instead, create a sense of urgency with ‘Oh good, we still have some of our suites, which feature…’ Instead of saying ‘All we have left are our limited view rooms,’ reiterate value by saying ‘Although this room does have a limited view, you still have all the same amenities and services as with all our rooms, and I have to say this room really is a great value at this time.

In addition to training your front desk to utilize these and other sales techniques, it’s also important to measure the results both individually and on a department-wide basis. If your property management system allows, assign a special source code to walk-ins. Otherwise, create a form to manually record your results. Of course, you’ll also want to challenge your staff’s competitive spirit by posting the results on a ‘daily,’ MTD, and YTD basis, and then to celebrate your success via staff recognition and/or incentive programs.

By employing the basic sales principles for capturing walk-ins, your front desk team can help your hotel maximize it’s market share even in a down market.

Doug Kennedy

Visit www.kennedytrainingnetwork.com for details or e-mail him at: doug@kennedytrainingnetwork.com.

Nagib Lakhan
RevMax Hospitality Consulting Services
O: (425)677-7866               C: (425)445-7750               F: (866)508-7866
nagib@RevenueMaxConsulting.com

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